Connecticut: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 56.7% for Clinton, and 43.4% for Trump in Connecticut.
Putting the results in context
Single models may incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.