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Colorado: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 50.4% for Clinton, and 49.6% for Trump in Colorado.

Historically, Colorado has been a purple state, in which neither the Democrats nor the Republicans have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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