On October 10, Western NE University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Western NE University poll results
Of those who replied, 65.0% said that they will vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 30.0% revealed that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was in the field between September 24 and October 3. The sample size was 403 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-5.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't put too much trust in the results of a single poll. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 68.4% for Clinton and 31.6% for Trump.
Results compared to other polls
An average of recent polls in Massachusetts sees Clinton at 63.5% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the Western NE University poll Clinton's poll average is 4.9 percentage points lower. This margin is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.9% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, the PollyVote is 4.5 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's margin of error.