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Clinton leads in Illinois by 25 points in latest The Simon Poll/SIU*The Simon Poll/SIU* poll

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On October 5, The Simon Poll/SIUThe Simon Poll/SIU released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Illinois were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

The Simon Poll/SIUThe Simon Poll/SIU poll results
53

Clinton

28

Trump

Of those who answered the question, 53.0% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% said that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between September 27 and October 2. The sample size was 865 likely voters. Considering the poll's margin of error of +/-3.3 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, you should consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 65.4% for Clinton and 34.6% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

An average of recent polls in Illinois has Clinton at 59.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the The Simon Poll/SIUThe Simon Poll/SIU poll. This deviation is outside the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Illinois. That is, Polly's prediction is 9.5 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error indicates that this difference is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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