Clinton leads in California by 17 points in latest Field poll

Field published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from California were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Of those who replied, 50.0% said that they intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 33.0% indicated that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was in the field between September 7 and September 13. The sample size was 1426 likely voters.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single poll. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 60.2% for Clinton and 39.8% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Clinton currently achieves 61.6% of the two-party vote in an average of recent polls in California. Relative to her numbers in the Field poll Clinton's poll average is 1.4 percentage points better.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 61.0% of the two-party vote in California. That is, the combined PollyVote is 0.8 points above her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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