Field published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from California were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
Field poll results
Of those who replied, 50.0% said that they intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 33.0% indicated that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was in the field between September 7 and September 13. The sample size was 1426 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single poll. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 60.2% for Clinton and 39.8% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
Clinton currently achieves 61.6% of the two-party vote in an average of recent polls in California. Relative to her numbers in the Field poll Clinton's poll average is 1.4 percentage points better.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 61.0% of the two-party vote in California. That is, the combined PollyVote is 0.8 points above her polling numbers.