On October 10, Talk Business/Hendrix College released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Arkansas were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Talk Business/Hendrix College poll results
Of those who replied, 34.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 0.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted , among a random sample of 0 participants.
Putting the results in context
Single polls can incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 38.2% for Clinton and 61.8% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
If we look at an average of Arkansas polls, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 64.0%. Compared to his numbers in the Talk Business/Hendrix College poll Trump's poll average is 2.2 percentage points higher.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 3.1 points below his polling numbers.