Arkansas: Huge lead for Trump in latest Talk Business/Hendrix College poll

On October 10, Talk Business/Hendrix College released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Arkansas were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Of those who replied, 34.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 0.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted , among a random sample of 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

Single polls can incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 38.2% for Clinton and 61.8% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of Arkansas polls, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 64.0%. Compared to his numbers in the Talk Business/Hendrix College poll Trump's poll average is 2.2 percentage points higher.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 3.1 points below his polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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