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Arizona: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 42.7% for Clinton, and 57.3% for Trump in Arizona.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.7% of the two-party vote in Arizona. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Arizona.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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