Alaska: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 39.9% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will win 60.1%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.