Alaska: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 39.9% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will win 60.1%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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