Alabama: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.8% for Clinton, and 64.2% for Trump in Alabama.

Putting the results in context

Single models often include large biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.4% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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