West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 61.8% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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