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Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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