The Leading indicators model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.0% for Clinton, and 48.0% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they often include large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 49.9% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. Compared to numbers in the Leading indicators model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.1 percentage points lower.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Leading indicators model.