The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.