Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will end up with 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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