Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 86.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 13.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 90.7% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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