Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.9%. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.2 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.6% and Trump 47.4% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 2.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.