Hit enter after type your search item

Issues and Leaders model shows Clinton in the lead

/
/
/
106 Views

The Issues and Leaders model is included in the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton, and 47.9% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single index models, as they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other index models

An average of recent index models sees Clinton at 53.5% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.4 percentage points higher than respective numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issues and Leaders model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar