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Issue-index model shows Clinton in the lead


The Issue-index model is captured in the index models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.2% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 43.8%.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models should be treated with caution, as they can include substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single index models, you should look at combined index models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other index models

Clinton can currently count on 53.5% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent index models. Compared to numbers in the Issue-index index model Clinton's index model average is 2.7 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Issue-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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