Bio-index model: Clinton is in the lead

The Bio-index model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.3% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 41.7%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single index models, as they often contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single index models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to other index models

Clinton is currently at 53.5% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent index models. This value is 4.9 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Bio-index index model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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