The 538 (polls-plus) model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 52.5% for Clinton, and 47.5% for Trump. In comparison, on October 9 Trump was still predicted to gain 47.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models has Clinton at 49.9% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.6 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. The results of the 538 (polls-plus) model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.