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North Carolina: Trump and Clinton virtually tied in latest Bloomberg poll


Bloomberg released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from North Carolina were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Bloomberg poll results




The results show that 46.0% of participants said that they would give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 45.0% said that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 29 to October 2 with 805 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls may contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single polls, one should use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 50.6% for Clinton and 49.5% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

An average of recent polls in North Carolina has Clinton at 51.5% of the two-party vote. Compared to her numbers in the Bloomberg poll Clinton's poll average is 0.9 percentage points better. This margin is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 49.8% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 0.8 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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