The Issues and Leaders model is captured in the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 52.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 47.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single index models often include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single index models, you should look at combined index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other index models
Clinton can currently count on 53.5% of the two-party vote in an average of recent index models. In comparison to numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model Clinton's index model average is 1.4 percentage points higher.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issues and Leaders model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.