Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 69.2% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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