The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 63.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.