The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.