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Connecticut: Sizable lead for Clinton in recent Emerson poll

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Emerson published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Emerson poll results
50

Clinton

35

Trump

Of those who replied, 50.0% said that they intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 35.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5 among 1000 likely voters. The error margin is +/-3.0 percentage points, which means that the levels of voter support for the Republican and the Democratic candidate differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump. On April 11 Clinton received only 54.6% in the Emerson poll and Trump received 45.5%.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. That is, Polly's prediction is 0.6 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error suggests that this deviation is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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