West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.