West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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