Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 63.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.