Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.