Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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