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Iowa: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.6% for Clinton, and 49.4% for Trump in Iowa.

In Iowa, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly regarded as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they may incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.6% of the two-party vote in Iowa.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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