DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will end up with 74.5%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 69.0% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.