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DeSart model in Iowa: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 50.6% of the two-party vote share in Iowa, while Trump will end up with 49.4%.

In Iowa, the popular vote is often decided by a narrow margin. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.6% of the two-party vote in Iowa.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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