West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will end up with 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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