Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 63.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.