The Leading indicators model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 52.0% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 48.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.9%. This value is 2.1 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Leading indicators model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Leading indicators model.