Leading indicators model shows Clinton in the lead

The Leading indicators model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 52.0% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 48.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.9%. This value is 2.1 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Leading indicators model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Leading indicators model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.