The Keys to the White House model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 49.7% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 50.3%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, index models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be too confident the results of an individual index model. Instead of trusting the results from single index models, the best practice is to consult combined index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to other index models
An average of recent index models has Trump at 46.5% of the two-party vote. Compared to numbers in the Keys to the White House index model Trump's index model average is 3.8 percentage points worse.
The Keys to the White House model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 47.3% of the two-party vote. The results of the Keys to the White House model for Trump are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.