Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 86.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will win 13.6%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 90.7% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.