The Jérôme & Jérôme model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate winning 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 49.9% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. When compared to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.2 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.
The Jérôme & Jérôme model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.7% and Trump 47.3% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 2.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.