The Issue-index model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 56.2% for Clinton, and 43.8% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models can incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
Looking at an average of index models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 53.5%. This value is 2.7 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Issue-index index model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issue-index model for Clinton are thus 3.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.