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Holbrook & DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead


The Holbrook & DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 52.1% for Clinton, and 47.9% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 49.9% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. Relative to numbers in the Holbrook & DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.2 percentage points lower.

The Holbrook & DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. The results of the Holbrook & DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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