The Electoral-cycle model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 48.6% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 51.4%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models sees Trump at 50.1% of the two-party vote. Relative to numbers in the Electoral-cycle model Trump's econometric model average is 1.3 percentage points worse.
The Electoral-cycle model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 47.3% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Electoral-cycle model.