DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.4% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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