The Big-issue model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.0% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 49.0%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single index models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
If we look at an average of index models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 53.4%. This value is 2.4 percentage points higher than respective numbers in the Big-issue index model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Big-issue model.