Hoffman Research (R)Hoffman Research (R) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Hoffman Research (R)Hoffman Research (R) poll results
The results show that 45.0% of participants would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 33.0% would vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from September 29 to October 1. A total of 605 likely voters responded. The error margin is +/-4.0 points. This means that the poll results for the two candidates differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
For the following comparison, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 57.7% for Clinton and 42.3% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
Clinton can currently count on 58.9% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Oregon. Compared to her numbers in the Hoffman Research (R)Hoffman Research (R) poll Clinton's poll average is 1.2 percentage points higher. This difference is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier. The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Oregon.