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Lewis-Beck & Tien model: Clinton is in the lead

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The Lewis-Beck & Tien model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 48.9%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 49.9% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. This value is 1.2 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Lewis-Beck & Tien model.

The Lewis-Beck & Tien model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote. The results of the Lewis-Beck & Tien model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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