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Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.5% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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