Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.