Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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