The Jérôme & Jérôme model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Results compared to other econometric models
Clinton currently runs at 49.9% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.2 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.6% and Trump 47.4% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 2.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.