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Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 69.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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