The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 69.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.