The Fair model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 44.0% for Clinton, and 56.0% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models has Trump at 50.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 5.9 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Fair model.
The Fair model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 47.4% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 8.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Fair model.